BACK TO THE FUTURE
There's a palpable frenzy around Facebook in recent weeks as this CNET story highlights.
It's happening obviously, as developers, entrepreneurs, VCs and users get their minds around what the company's recently announced F8 platform strategy means longer term.
No less a personage than Marc Andreessen has declared Facebook a seminal milestone in the on-going history of the internet.
Not a day goes by without a Techmeme discussion thread on something Facebook. Today is no different.
But as I explore the various parts of the exploding Facebook eco-system in recent days, I've been feeling a little sense of deja vu.
What's interesting about the Facebook fever, is how it's simultaneously hitting net veterans, media veterans, and net natives. Net Natives of course, are members of the younger generation who've not experienced much traditional or online media before AOL.
The net veterans see in Facebook, the opportunity to witness another major platform in the making, along the lines of a Microsoft or a Google.
The media veterans see in Facebook, the possibility of the next media money machine emerging, along the lines of a next-gen MTV, or a Bloomberg. Anecdotally, Jeff Jarvis observes in a recent post, that Mark Zuckerberg, the 23-year old founder and CEO of Facebook had the seat of honor next to Rupert Murdoch at dinner during the latest News Corp. off-site gathering for it's executives:
"Murdoch sat next to Zuckerberg and he was clearly enchanted; they stayed head-to-head all through the meal.
Mark left to get back up north and in a flash, MySpace founder and now Murdochian Chris DeWolfe came dashing over, as if he were jealous of the attention Dad had given that other kid."
And the net natives? Well, they seem to be breathless about Facebook the world over. Note this post from Ramesh Jain, commenting on a recent brief business trip to Mumbai, India:
"In this trip, however, I got a chance to hear some young people (three 19 year old girls) talk about what they like and dislike on Internet. Their excitement about Facebook was something to be experienced.
It appears that Facebook has become the most important medium for social communication among them. They love everything about Facebook and they are ecstatic about the new application environment.
They think now they have everything that they need to remain in touch with all their friends. They repeatedly mentioned that they are on Facebook all the time."
And as Fred Wilson observes about "net natives" in another post on his series on Age of internet entrepreneurs (discussed earlier),
"It is incredibly hard to think of new paradigms when you've grown up reading the newspaper every morning. When you turn to TV for your entertainment. When you read magazines on the train home from work.
But we have a generation coming of age right now that has never relied on newspapers, TV, and magazines for their information and entertainment.
They are the net natives. They grew up in AOL chatrooms, IMing with their friends for hours after dinner, and went to school with a Facebook login."
But that exactly is the moment of deja vu for me.
Facebook today feels like a web-based AOL.
You log in to do anything.
You keep logging in because you get logged out if there are big periods of inactivity.
You log in to keep in touch with your friends, just like today's net natives did in AOL's chat rooms and IM sessions.
You exchange emails back and forth with them using Facebook's walled, proprietary, email system.
You select your "buddies" that you want to keep tabs on, and stay in touch with throughout the day.
There's not much one does in the core functions of Facebook today, that you couldn't or didn't do with AOL's AIM and ICQ instant messaging systems of almost a decade ago.
There are a lot of differences of course is a vis AOL, key among them being that one's identity is crystal clear in Facebook, while on AOL, one could be interacting with anybody and their dog.
The other difference of course is that the various applications and content services within AOL are being created in Facebook in a de-centralized manner, with third parties taking the lead. There likely will be applications that emerge in Facebook that were never possible in the worlds of AOL.
And unlike AOL, various applications will battle it out in a Darwinian fashion within the Facebook platform to emerge as the leader. After all, how many music social networking sites can thrive longer-term in the Facebook eco-system?
But while the net natives may not be yearning to re-create a newspaper, TV or magazine in this new "Web 2.0" realm, they may be sub-consciously trying to re-create an AOL of sorts.
How does it go? The more things change...
Scott Heiferman made the same analogy:
http://scott.heiferman.com/notes/2007/05/walled.html
I think the key is openness, which I also blogged about. The internet already is a social network. The great winner will be he who helps us organize it. If Facebook only organizes itself, it will be big but only so big. If it helps organize the rest of our identities and interactions, that will be m uch bigger. That will truly be the Google of people.
My Guardian column saying this here: http://www.buzzmachine.com/facebook/
Posted by: Jeff Jarvis | Saturday, June 16, 2007 at 05:44 PM
One thing I just thought about regarding the constantly logging out thing, it's a security measure for the college kids, more than anything.
About the last thing you want, as a college student, is to forget to log out when you go take a shower, and your roommate, who you don't really like, and wants to steal your boyfriend, gets on to your facebook profile.
When I was a dorm-living college student, everyone in our house was a bit on the practical joker side, and god help you if you left anything unlocked and unattended.
Posted by: candice | Wednesday, June 20, 2007 at 11:26 AM
Candice,
I agree. It's another vestigial aspect of the "College" Facebook that needs to be re-done, as the company focuses on the mainstream market.
Hope it's on their "top things to-do" list.
Posted by: Michael Parekh | Wednesday, June 20, 2007 at 12:08 PM