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Friday, May 04, 2007

ON MICROSOFT AND YAHOO! SPECULATION

BIG DEAL

Well, what's been recommended privately and publicly by so many armchair internet industry observers may now actually be happening.  You can read all the discussions up on Techmeme today. 

Microsoft and Yahoo! may figure out some way of joining forces to compete better against Google.  The options range from an outright merger, to a spin-off of Microsoft's internet assets into Yahoo! as a separate, but kissing cousins company. 

That latter option is not far from what Yahoo! itself found successful with Softbank in Japan and Alibaba in China.

As the chart in this Wall Street Journal article points out, this'd be one of the largest deals done in the space this side of the AOL/Time Warner acquisition/merger in 2000.

Most of the reasons being cited for doing something are defensive rather than offensive.  It's hard to do something offensive even when you're just a big, incumbent company trying to digest much smaller acquisitions.

And it doesn't always spell synergies in terms of consolidating redundant operations.

Just consider that the other Yahoo! story being discussed on Techmeme today is Yahoo! finally deciding to close down it's much larger, 2 million user strong Yahoo! Photos, and just go with Flickr, with it's 500,000 users, as it's primary photo site.  And this is TWO YEARS after it acquired that company.

Microsoft's no better at consolidating.  A DECADE after acquiring Hotmail, Microsoft still offers a hodge podge of email services to users, under msn.com, hotmail.com, etc.

So it remains to be seen if something happens here, and how it's structured and presented. 

Both tasks are going to be hard, but neither will be hard as executing the strategy after it's been structured and presented.

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